Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs have struggled on the road against top-half teams, losing 7 of their last 10 in such fixtures.
Villa are a fortress at home this season, with 1.92 points per game—only four teams boast better home records.
Their +0.93 xG supremacy at home is the third-best in the league, showcasing their dominance.
Spurs are defensively vulnerable, conceding 1.95 xGA per away game across all competitions this season. In league play:
16th for npxGA
17th for quality of chances allowed
14th for xGA from set-pieces per 90
18th for xGA from counters per 90
Villa are well-rested after a week off, while Spurs endured a bruising midweek defeat to Liverpool, adding fatigue and pressure.
Pick: …
