Double
Germany Over 1.5 Team Total
Ivory Coast -1.5 Asian Handicap at 2.36 with Bet105 - 2 units
With only a win sufficing for Ecuador they will need to throw caution to the wind at some stage, which should mean they deviate from their usual style.
As we have seen with a lot of the South American teams, they were amazing defensively in qualification but have struggled at this tournament. Ecuador gave up 1.74 xG against Ivory Coast and 0.89 xG against Curacao.
They have been overperforming defensively. Let’s look at competitive matches: 2024 0.5 goals conceded from 1.00 xGA, 2025 0.17 goals against from 0.88 xGA and this year 0.5 goals against from 1.32 xGA.
Including all their games over the last 12 months we can see Germany scoring 3.08 goals per game off 2.54 xG.
From that 12-game sample they scored 2 or more in 11, the exception being an away game against Northern Ireland.
I’m adding Ivory Coast -1.5 here too. This should be a routine win and a nice confidence builder before the knockout rounds.
Also there is a chance Ecuador overtake them in 2nd, so it’s not a dead rubber
Curacao have allowed 3.5 goals and 4.45 xGA per 90 at this World Cup with an average of 26 shots against.
They have also faded pretty badly in the 2nd half in both games. Against Germany they got hit with 4 goals and against Ecuador they allowed 19 shots and 1.75 xG, so that could be an in-play strategy if the first half turns out to be pretty low-event.
Expect them to be pinned in their half for most of this game and for the Africans to dominate.
Ivory Coast are one of the better African nations in the attacking third and that’s reflected in their results.
From their 11 games over the last 12 months they have scored 2.09 and generated 1.96 xG per 90.
5 Unit Play 👇
