Busy card today across the Europa and Conference League, and the market has left a few soft prices on the board. You’ll get the Ferencváros pick for free, but the real value sits in the remaining four plays, including a 3 unit best bet I’m backing heavily.
Ferencvaros vs Rangers
Ferencvaros -0.75 Asian Handicap at 1.9 with Pinnacle - 2 units
This sets up as a favourable spot for Ferencvaros against a Rangers side struggling badly for output and already drifting out of the competition.
Ferencvaros sit 6th in the overall standings and remain unbeaten in the group stage. Rangers are down in 33rd and effectively eliminated, with performances reflecting that decline.
Robbie Keane’s team have produced a strong European résumé already, beating Ludogorets, RB Salzburg and Genk, while also earning a credible 1-1 draw away at Fenerbahce.
Both clubs have faced Genk, offering a useful comparison. Rangers conceded over 4.00 xG in that match and lost, while Ferencvaros were comfortable winners. It underlines the gulf in current performance levels.
Rangers’ main issue is a continued drop-off in attacking output. They are generating only 1.34 xG per 90 in domestic play, down from around 2.1 last season and 2.67 the year before. The decline has been sharp and consistent.
Their European away numbers are similarly concerning, conceding 2.8 goals per match with 2.94 xGA per 90. They are struggling to cope defensively while offering little at the other end.
