Spurs vs Arsenal
Spurs Over 0.5 Team Total Goals at 1.8 with Pinnacle - 2 units
Even with Spurs’ injuries, the managerial change, and their recent form, I still make Arsenal slightly overvalued in this market. I think Tudor’s appointment is going under the radar a bit
Tudor had his best spell at Verona and impressed so much there he got the Marseille job. Did great there, got the Lazio job, delivered an immediate turnaround in results, and at Juventus rescued them last season and secured a Champions League spot
Spurs have rolled the dice but I think we see an improvement under him
Arsenal are now under intense pressure after dropping points to Wolves with Man City closing the gap to just two points
We can talk about all the metrics in the world and how great Arsenal are but they must be really feeling it now after squandering such a large lead. They wouldn’t be human if doubt hasn’t started to creep in
Nothing is expected of Spurs here. They are expected to lose and that will benefit them. No pressure on their side against a team carrying all of it
Despite their league position, Spurs have scored in their last 11 at home across the PL and UCL. That includes goals against Newcastle, Man City, Dortmund, Liverpool, and Man Utd
They’ve averaged 1.6 goals scored per game in their last 10 home games against teams positioned in the Top 6
Spurs will likely line up with Solanke, Simons, and Tel in attack. Solanke has had limited minutes this season but is scoring at 0.65 per 90 from his 552 mins across both competitions and makes Spurs far more potent in the box
Solanke is a slight doubt but we should also note that Kolo Muani and Tudor worked together at Juventus and the Croatian got a tune out of him there
Arsenal are allowing 0.92 xGA per 90 on the road this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their last 9. Considering everything here I think Spurs get on the scoresheet and keep this game competitive
