Bet: Liverpool -1.75 AH at 1.98 with Bet365 (2 units)
Liverpool are in strong form at Anfield, and all signs point to another convincing victory against Wolves. Here’s why this bet holds value:
Wolves' Poor Away Record: Wolves have lost 8 of their last 10 away games against Top 6 sides, conceding 28 goals and scoring just 8 in those matches.
Liverpool’s Dominance at Anfield: When hosting teams in the bottom 6, Liverpool have won 9 of their last 10 games. These matches have averaged 4 goals per game, with Liverpool scoring 2.9 and conceding 1.1 per game on average.
Consistency in Attack: Since their 0-1 loss to Nottingham Forest in September, Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in every single home game across all competitions.
Wolves' Attacking Struggles: Wolves rank 16th in non-penalty expected goals (npxG), and while they do perform well on counterattacks, Liverpool rank highly at restricting chances from counters.
Winning Margins: Liverpool have won by 2 or more goals in 12 of their last 20 home games – the best record in the league. On the other hand, Wolves have lost their last 10 away matches by a margin of 2+ goals.
xG Supremacy: Liverpool’s xG superiority at Anfield over the last 12 months has been extraordinary, averaging almost +1.5 per 90 minutes.
Wolves Under Vítor Pereira: Wolves have played two road games against top-tier opposition under Vítor Pereira (Newcastle and Chelsea) and were comprehensively beaten in both, conceding over 2.5 xGA in each match.
With Liverpool’s formidable form at Anfield and Wolves’ ongoing struggles away from home, this -1.75 Asian Handicap offers great value at 1.98.
