Paris FC vs Auxerre
Both teams to score: Yes at 1.82 with Pinnacle - 2 units
Paris FC are averaging 1.83 goals and 1.65 xG per home game, so we can trust them to create chances, while Auxerre’s record of conceding 1.94 goals per away game over the last 12 months points to an open contest with opportunities at both ends.
Defensively, Paris have been poor. They have conceded 25 goals this season, with only Lorient and Metz performing worse at the back, which increases the likelihood of Auxerre getting on the scoresheet.
Auxerre are also due some positive regression. They are undershooting their expected goals by around 7.5 this season, suggesting their finishing has room to improve and that more goals should come if they maintain their current chance creation.
Auxerre will surely see this as a very winnable game against another bottom half side, which should encourage them to attack rather than sit back.
