Newcastle vs Fulham…
Fulham +0.5 AH at 2.21 with Unibet - 2 units
Fulham won’t be beaten in transition here. They rank 1st in the league for chances allowed from counters per 90, and Newcastle thrives in matches where they can get in behind.
Overall Fulham are the 3rd best in the league for xGA
When they last met, Fulham ran out 3-1 winners.
In terms of xG supremacy, there isn’t a huge difference between Fulham’s home and away games.
Based on OPTA’s data, they are the 5th best side on the road in the league this season.
Fulham have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 away games against top-half opponents, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Newcastle have won 4 of their last 10 against top-half opponents, scoring 17 and conceding 16.
Given these numbers, Newcastle might be a bit short at 1.7 (59% implied probability) to win here.
Lastly, Newcastle are overperforming quite a bit defensively with 1.17 goals allowed per 90 with 1.61xGA allowed
Bournemouth vs Liverpool….
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