Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
Leverkusen +0.25 AH at 1.89 with Bet365 - 2 units
Bayern are coming off an unconvincing road performance over Celtic while Leverkusen avoided the playoffs and thus had no midweek game and could fully concentrate on this game.
This is a huge game for the reigning Champions and one they should really be looking at as a must win if they are to keep pace with Bayern
Dortmund have had pretty easy road fixtures this season, in fact they’ve only travelled two teams that rank inside the Top 6 for expected points, Those matches came against Mainz (2-1 loss) and against Frankfurt (3-3)
When travelling to teams in the Top 6, Bayern’s record actually isn’t that great. They have won 3, drawn 5,m and lost 2 with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Tactically I absolutely give the edge to Xabi Alonso too, I think he will have a concrete plan to get a result here. We should also note he has not lost against Bayern once (5 meetings)
Leverkusen are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 at home to Top 6 opponents with 2.1 scored per game and just 0.9 against.
No much to report team news wise, the only starter missing from either side is Alphonso Davies
Bottom line here is that Bayern have been unconvincing away from home against quality and the market is over valuing them in my opinion
