Man Utd vs Burnley
Both teams to score: Yes at at 2.02 - 2 units
Man Utd are not a team I like to trust when pressure is high. They were humiliated midweek against Grimsby in the League Cup. What makes it worse is that Utd fielded a strong XI, brought on more heavy hitters in the 2nd half, and still couldn’t beat a side from England’s 4th tier
This is another game where they’re 100% expected to win comfortably. If they don’t, there’s a good chance Amorim walks, which in my opinion benefits Burnley massively
Burnley have started their campaign well. They lost 3-0 to Spurs but still racked up 16 shots and ~1.2 xG, then beat Sunderland 2-0, and midweek beat Derby in the Carabao Cup
Amorim’s Man Utd do not have a great clean sheet record in the league. If we take away their clean sheets against the now-relegated Leicester and Southampton, their clean sheet rate in the league is just 17.2%
In non-PL games it’s even worse, with just 2 clean sheets from 16 matches
Utd have also conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 against bottom-half teams
Utd should win this, but at these odds I’m more than happy to play BTTS
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