Bodo/Glimt vs Tel Aviv
Bodo Glimt -0.75 AH at 1.68 with Pinnacle - 2 units
Bodo have played 7 European home games over the last 12 months and have averaged 2.43 goals and 2.63xG per 90 from those games, we also must consider that this sample includes team far above Tel Aviv’s level like, Red Star, Porto, and Ajax
Sub zero temperatures during game time and the artificial pitch will also benefit the hosts and hinder the visitors
Tel Aviv is at the 32° latitude while this game will be played at 67.2° latitude which is huge, remember Tel Aviv is also seeing temps of 18° during this time of year
The Norwegians have had over a month to prepare for this game with no domestic games during this period, they did play some warm up friendlies against decent opposition (Dusseldorf and Sparta Prague) so I’m not too worried about match sharpness
Tel Aviv have played 6 road games in Europe this season and have allowed 2.36xGA per 90, both Ajax and Braga put up enormous xG totals against them
Tel Aviv did pick up what looked like a good result on paper in their last road game, they beat Besiktas 1-3 but we have to remember this was actually a neutral venue game and Ciro Immobile missed a penalty late in the 2nd half to tie the game
Domestically Tel Aviv sit 2nd in the table and while they have the strongest attacking metrics in the league their defensive numbers are not the best
Bodo/Glimt tend to have a significant advantage at home in the winter months, I expect that trend to continue here
