Arsenal vs Everton
Under 2.5 Total Goals at 1.98 with Pinnacle - 1 unit (min 1.94)
This is a quick turnaround for Arsenal who will be playing 72 hours after a 2-2 draw away to Bayern Munich where they fielded a strong XI
We likely see Madueke, Odegaard, Eze, Havertz start this game, we know Saka and Tzolis are injured and won’t play any part here
For the over to land Arsenal will more than likely need to get to three on their own, and with tired legs from Munich and no Saka we don’t see it
Tomorrow there will be strong winds battering the UK and this will play its part in the game for Arsenal who are as we know reliant on set-pieces, the wind won’t be as extreme compared to coastal locations but the overall stormy conditions should make things more challenging
No team has conceded fewer home goals than Arsenal (Last 20) with just 12 conceded from 14.08xGA so there’s a good chance Everton don’t contribute to the goal line
Everton barely laid a glove on them at Goodison in December, 0.21xG all game in a 1-0 defeat, and the meeting at the Emirates in March was 0-0 until the 89th minute before Arsenal scored twice late, the second into an empty net with Pickford up for a corner
Moyes managed sides have managed just 1 goal in their last 4 against Arteta’s Arsenal and that goal came from the penalty spot
Everton games away to Top 6 are incredibly low scoring, 1.4 goals per game
No team has seen the Under hit more away from home than Everton (13 of their last 20)